Intercontinental Exchange Inc. ICE is slated to report fourth-quarter 2024 earnings on Feb. 6, before market open. ICE delivered an earnings surprise in two of the last four quarters while matching estimates in the other two, the average beat being 1.28%.
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Continued strong trends across fixed-income data and analytics and an acceleration in growth in other data and network services businesses are likely to have aided the fourth-quarter performance of Intercontinental Exchange. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is pegged at $2.3 billion, indicating an increase of 5.3% from the year-ago reported number.
Fixed Income and Data Services revenues are likely to have benefited from higher CDS clearing activity, growing corporate and municipal bond activity, growth in pricing and reference data business and strength in index business, growth in ICE Global Network offering, coupled with strength in consolidated feeds and desktop revenues. Our estimate is pegged at $616.5 million.
The Exchange segment is likely to have benefited from higher transaction revenues, driven by an increase in interest rate business, solid energy revenues and a rise in commodities volume as well as financials volume. An expanded global energy and environmental network is likely to have added to the upside. The Zacks Consensus Estimate and our estimate for the segment’s revenues are both pegged at $1.8 billion.
The Mortgage Technology segment’s revenues are expected to have gained from improvement in data and analytics owing to the continued adoption of digital solutions. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the segment’s revenues is pegged at $497 million. We expect the metric to be $463.8 million.
Expenses are likely to have increased owing to higher compensation and benefits, professional expense, acquisition-related transaction costs, and technology and communication. We estimate expenses to increase 1.8% to $968.9 million.
For the fourth quarter of 2024, GAAP operating expenses are expected in the range of $1.23-$1.24 billion. Adjusted operating expenses are projected to be between $977 million and $987 million. GAAP and adjusted non-operating expenses are both expected to be in the range of $180-$185 million.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at $1.49 per share, indicating an increase of 5.3% from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. Continued share buybacks are likely to have added to the upside.
ICE reported a 22% increase in fourth-quarter average daily volume (ADV). Total Natural Gas ADV was up 33% year over year, while Energy Open Interest ADV increased 15% year over year. Total Financials OI increased 40% in the fourth quarter.